Predicting CSF α-Synuclein Seed Amplification Assay Status From Demographics and Clinical Data
By onBackground and Objectives The alpha-synuclein (α-syn) CSF seed amplification assay (CSF SAA) presents a promising diagnostic for Parkinson disease (PD) and other synucleinopathies. The objective of this study was to develop and externally validate models to predict probabilities of α-syn positive or negative status in vivo in a mixture of people with and without PD using easily accessible clinical predictors. Methods Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models were developed in a cohort of participants from the Parkinson Progression Marker Initiative (PPMI) study to predict CSF α-syn status as measured by SAA. Models were externally validated in a cohort of participants from the Systemic Synuclein Sampling Study (S4) that had also measured CSF α-syn status using SAA. Results The PPMI model training/testing cohort included 1,260 participants, 37% of whom were female, with a mean (± standard deviation) age of 62.4 (±10.0) years. Among them, 76% had manifest PD with a mean disease duration of 1.2 (±1.6) years. Overall, 68.7% of the overall PPMI cohort (and 88.0% of those with manifest PD) had positive CSF α-syn SAA status results. Variables from the full multivariable model to predict CSF α-syn SAA status included age-specific and sex-specific University of Pennsylvania Smell Identification Test (UPSIT) percentile values, sex, self-reported frequency of constipation problems, leucine-rich repeat kinase 2 (LRRK2) genetic status and pathogenic variant, and GBA status. Internal performance of the model on PPMI data to predict CSF α-syn SAA status showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.921 and a sensitivity/specificity of 0.858/0.868. This model was applied to the external S4 cohort, which included 71 participants, 39% of whom were female, with a mean age of 63.0 (±8.0) years, and included 70.4% with manifest PD (for a mean 5.1 (±4.8) years). The model performed well, achieving an AUROC of 0.978 and a sensitivity/specificity of 0.958/0.870. Discussion Data-driven models using noninvasive clinical features can accurately predict CSF α-syn SAA positive and negative status in cohorts enriched for people living with PD. Scores from the UPSIT were highly significant in predicting α-syn SAA status.
Contralateral spread of unilateral tremor in Parkinson’s Disease
By on__Background__ Parkinsonian tremor usually starts unilaterally. The mid-term prognosis of this lateralized tremor is unknown, as is the development of tremor in the contralateral arm. __Objective__ To investigate the emergence of contralateral tremor in the Parkinson-Progression-Marker-Initiative database, with data available for 7 years. __Methods__ Tremor Amenable for surgery (TAS) was defined as any rest, postural or kinetic tremor with amplitude >1 cm (MDS-UPDRS score ≥2) as this criterion is commonly accepted for inclusion in surgical studies. Tremor was analyzed by side mainly in the off-medication state. __Results__ At baseline, 348 (87.7%) of the 397 patients with Parkinson’s disease had tremor at least on one side of the body. 183 (46%) had only mild tremors but 165 (41.6%) had TAS. 159 patients (40.1%) had lateralized TAS and 6 (1.6%) had bilateral TAS. Among patients with unilateral TAS, 40 patients (25.8%) developed contralateral TAS at 3 years, 49 patients (30.8%) at 5 years, and 61 patients (39%) at 7 years. The side more affected by tremor was also more affected by other cardinal symptoms. In 159 patients with initially unilateral TAS, tremor severity did not increase on the tremor-dominant side over the 7-year period. However, there was an increase in tremor on the contralateral side. This was associated with a clear increase in bradykinesia and rigidity on both sides. __Conclusion__ The study findings may prove beneficial in counselling patients with TAS, and may also provide an explanation as to why the worsening of tremor is not correlated with overall disease progression.
Safety and Feasibility of Serial Lumbar Punctures: Long-term Results from the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative
By onBackground Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) serves an essential role in biomarker research. New Parkinson’s disease (PD) classifications incorporate CSF α-synuclein status into trial design. This study evaluated the safety and feasibility of serial CSF collection in participants enrolled in the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI). Methods PPMI participants were evaluated over 13-years with lumbar punctures (LPs) occurring annually from baseline through year five and biennially thereafter. Adverse events and compliance, defined as percentage of LPs with CSF collection, were assessed at baseline and upon follow up. Logistic regression and generalized linear mixed effects models were used to calculate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for predictors of baseline and longitudinal LP success. Results 3479 participants (PD: n = 1412, prodromal: n = 1768, healthy control: n = 299) were analyzed. 3360 attempted at least one LP with 29.5 % experiencing an adverse event (1.3 % severe). Baseline compliance was 90 %. From baseline to year five, percent change in compliance decreased by 39.4 % in the PD cohort, 41.4 % in the prodromal cohort, and 27.8 % in the healthy control cohort. Predictive variables of baseline LP success included fewer years since diagnosis (PD: OR 0.82, 0.76–0.89), lower BMI (prodromal: OR 0.92, 0.89–0.94), and site location U.S. vs. non-U.S. (PD: OR 1.5, 1.03–2.18, healthy control: OR 3.6, 1.22–10.64). Baseline LP success was the best predictor of longitudinal success (OR 7.82, 5.74–10.65). Conclusions Lumbar punctures were safe in PD research participants over a 13-year period. Compliance was high over the first three years, but further investigation is warranted to improve long term success.
Fall Frequency, Risk Factors, and Outcomes in Parkinson’s Disease: A Cross-Sectional Analysis
By on__Background__ Falls are a major source of morbidity in Parkinson’s disease (PD), yet their evolution over time remains unclear. __Objectives__ To compare fall risk and outcomes among PD, prodromal alpha-synucleinopathy, (PAS) and healthy controls (HC); estimate fall frequency across PD progression; and characterize clinical features of PD faller subgroups. __Methods__ We analyzed fall-related outcomes in the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative. Yearly rates of rare and frequent falls were estimated by time since diagnosis. Unique PD participants were grouped as never, rare, or frequent fallers. Clinical variables included motor, cognitive, behavioral, sleep, and autonomic measures. Outcomes included injuries and healthcare utilization. Regression models adjusted for age, sex, and disease duration, with Benjamini-Hochberg correction. __Results__ Across 6,977 visits from 3,100 participants (937 PD, 1,926 PAS, 237 HC), PD participants had higher odds of falling than PAS (OR=1.66, 95% CI ) and HC (OR=4.03, 95% CI ). PD participants were also more likely to report fall-related injuries and healthcare use than PAS (OR=1.70, 1.71) and HC (OR=3.26, 3.81). Falls occurred in 15.5% of visits at diagnosis and 69.2% after 14 years, increasing across Neuronal Synuclein Disease-Integrated Staging System (NSD-ISS) stages. Frequent fallers had longer disease duration, higher NSD-ISS, and worse clinical profiles. Women were more likely to fall than men (46.1% vs 34.9%, p=0.002) despite milder symptoms. __Conclusion__ Falls and related morbidity increase with disease duration and NSD-ISS. Risk reflects sex and motor and non-motor factors, supporting a multifactorial model. Fall frequency may represent a practical marker of progression and guide prevention strategies in PD.
Optimizing Parkinson’s Disease progression scales using computational methods
By onParkinson’s disease is a highly heterogeneous condition with symptoms spanning motor and non-motor domains. Clinical scales like the Movement Disorder Society’s Unified Parkinson’s Disease Rating Scale (MDS-UPDRS), are standard in clinical trials where disease progression is monitored. They rely on summing item values, assuming uniform item importance and score increments. Here we propose a novel data-driven approach to optimize weights for such scales — so that total scores better reflect the underlying disease severity. By leveraging large-scale longitudinal data from the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI), our methods identified which items (and value increments) most strongly indicate PD progression, down-weighting or excluding less informative items. The learned weights substantially improve the monotonic relationship between total scores and clinical progression. We validated our weights using both held-out PPMI data and an independent dataset (BeaT-PD), demonstrating their robustness. Applying such weights in clinical trials may increase power and reduce the required sample size.
Understanding the pattern of cognitive decline in GBA1-related Parkinson’s Disease: a longitudinal multi-cohort study
By on__Objective__ People with Parkinson’s disease (PD) who carry a pathogenic GBA1 variant (PDGBA1) are at higher risk of cognitive impairment than those without the variant (PDGBA1_wildtype). To date, little is known about the pattern and evolution of cognitive decline in PDGBA1. This multi-center study characterized the cognitive profile of PDGBA, focusing on the longitudinal trajectories and the group-specific onset times among cognitive functions, as well as their clinical relevance. __Methods__ In this longitudinal multicohort-study (PPMI, ABC-PD, Luxembourg Parkinson’s Study), comprehensive neuropsychological assessments were standardized across 548 healthy controls (follow-up-years=2.84±4.33), 906 PDGBA1_wildtype (follow-up-years=4.29±4.16), and 210 PDGBA1 (follow-up-years=4.09±3.35). We evaluated performance across age and disease duration using regression (generalized) linear mixed models within each cognitive domain. Time-to-first-event models, assessing risks of clinically relevant performance impairment (test-score z≤-1.5, MoCA<26), and an expanding-time-window approach identified the course of cognitive impairment. Additionally, correlations between cognitive functions were calculated. __Results__ At baseline, PDGBA1 showed lower performance in attention (processing speed) and memory (verbal learning) than PDGBA1_wildtype, but more widespread probability of performance impairment. Over time, attention, visuoperception, memory, and semantic fluency performance declined more rapidly in PDGBA1 compared to PDGBA1_wildtype. Impairment in processing speed occurred earlier in the disease process of PDGBA1. Risks for clinically relevant cognitive impairment in PDGBA1 during the disease course were generally increased. Moderate-to-strong correlations between cognitive functions were observed within and across cognitive domains in PDGBA1 and PDGBA1_wildtype, particularly in attentional-executive functions. __Interpretation__ PDGBA1 exhibits accelerated domain-generalized cognitive decline compared to PDGBA1_wildtype, with susceptibility of semantic fluency, attention, and memory.
Utilizing Intraindividual Cognitive Variability to Predict Early Neuronal Synuclein Disease Progression
By on__Background__ Neuronal synuclein disease (NSD) involves pathological α-synuclein presence and often dopaminergic dysfunction, initially preceding overt clinical symptoms. NSD-ISS identifies Stage 2A (no dopaminergic dysfunction) and 2B (dopaminergic dysfunction) as prodromal phases marked by subtle clinical signs without functional impairment. Intraindividual variability/dispersion (IIV-D), reflecting within-person inconsistency across cognitive tasks, has emerged as a potential marker of early neurodegenerative changes. __Objectives__ This study examined whether IIV-D differentiates NSD Stage 2 participants from healthy controls and predicts progression to more advanced NSD stages. __Methods__ Data from the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative were used to assess performance across 11 neuropsychological tests in 934 participants (832 Stage 2; 102 controls). IIV-D was quantified using the total coefficient of variation (CoV) and a domain-specific attention/executive CoV. Group comparisons and logistic regression assessed associations between IIV-D, clinical characteristics, and disease progression. __Results__ Stage 2 participants exhibited significantly greater CoV than controls (p = .003). Higher IIV-D was associated with worse motor symptoms, non-motor burden, and functional impairment. Among Stage 2 participants, subsequent converters to Stage 3+ (n = 100) had significantly higher total CoV (p = .008) and attention/executive CoV (p = .020) at baseline. CoV independently predicted conversion after one year (OR = 1.44, p = .008), controlling for baseline motor severity. __Conclusions__ IIV-D, particularly CoV, may be a sensitive cognitive marker of early NSD and predict short-term disease progression. Findings support integrating cognitive dispersion metrics into early detection strategies for prodromal synucleinopathies, though replication is needed to confirm generalizability and clinical utility.
2025: A Year in Review
We are proud to share how we impacted the Parkinson’s disease research field in 2025. Read our report to see how the infrastructure and processes we established are changing the way science is done and are generating significant momentum.
ASAP Research Round-Up | Q3 2025
In this second edition of the ASAP Research Round-Up, ASAP shares advancements in Q2 2025 across the ASAP portfolio that fill critical knowledge gaps, promote rapid dissemination of scientific insights, expand resource accessibility, and support the next generation of Parkinson’s researchers.
ASAP Research Round-Up | Q2 2025
In this second edition of the ASAP Research Round-Up, ASAP shares advancements in Q2 2025 across the ASAP portfolio that fill critical knowledge gaps, promote rapid dissemination of scientific insights, expand resource accessibility, and support the next generation of Parkinson’s researchers.
ASAP Research Round-Up | Q1 2025
In this first edition of the ASAP Research Round-Up, ASAP shares advancements in Q1 2025 across the ASAP portfolio that fill critical knowledge gaps, promote rapid dissemination of scientific insights, expand resource accessibility, and support the next generation of Parkinson’s researchers.
2024: A Year in Review
ASAP is excited to share how we pushed the Parkinson’s disease research field forward. Together, our supported programs worked to funnel new ideas into Parkinson’s disease R&D, facilitate the rapid exchange of ideas, ensure researchers can build upon ASAP-funded work, and establish a diverse pipeline for the next generation of researchers.
Why Acting Out in Dreams May Signal a Health Issue
Read this article from The Washington Post on how REM sleep behavior disorder (RBD) can be a sign of early-onset Parkinson’s disease and how the Michael J. Fox Foundation is inviting people who act out their dreams to participate in the Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI).
2023: A Year in Review
ASAP reflects on the results our initiative, network, and supported programs have had on providing new insights into Parkinson’s disease in 2023. Together, we have uncovered novel discoveries and made progress toward our vision of advancing collaborative, transparent research processes, and environments that deliver faster and better outcomes in PD research.
A Parkinson’s ‘Game Changer,’ Backed by Michael J. Fox, Could Lead to New Diagnostics and, Someday, Treatments
STAT highlights how The Parkinson’s Progression Markers Initiative (PPMI) recently discovered how αSyn-SAA could be a novel tool for precision medicine approaches, earlier intervention, and improved clinical trial design for Parkinson's disease.
2022: A Year in Review
ASAP reflects on the progress made in 2022 toward our vision of advancing collaborative, transparent research processes and environments that deliver faster and better outcomes in Parkinson’s disease research.